{ "schema": "tfsl-single-pair-multiyear-v1", "scope": "EURUSD; independent segments; no profitability approval", "plan_sha256": "1f80fadcc825191607913348c68e615b1366bcade7f0ebe4b0c0c62a47de415e", "execution_tools_sha256": "27cb45d007b8fca1915919861751905d1a775aceba6ec3f1555f9b112f6d8e1f", "tick_release_sha256": "5677eea1ba86ef2ab4b5535c827b17883ba67557a18623981a991eca44ea54b7", "source_manifest_sha256": "083fdfc129c0aee3b88c4875e861ee28f3ee6d10dec7f2767ae4741b40c88939", "segments": [ { "from_date": "2018-07-02", "to_date": "2018-12-24", "candidate_weekdays": 125 }, { "from_date": "2019-01-04", "to_date": "2019-05-24", "candidate_weekdays": 100 }, { "from_date": "2019-05-29", "to_date": "2019-12-24", "candidate_weekdays": 149 }, { "from_date": "2020-01-04", "to_date": "2020-12-24", "candidate_weekdays": 253 }, { "from_date": "2021-01-05", "to_date": "2022-01-01", "candidate_weekdays": 259 }, { "from_date": "2022-01-01", "to_date": "2023-01-01", "candidate_weekdays": 260 }, { "from_date": "2023-01-01", "to_date": "2023-12-22", "candidate_weekdays": 254 }, { "from_date": "2024-01-03", "to_date": "2024-12-24", "candidate_weekdays": 254 }, { "from_date": "2025-01-03", "to_date": "2025-12-24", "candidate_weekdays": 253 }, { "from_date": "2026-01-06", "to_date": "2026-09-18", "candidate_weekdays": 183 } ], "omitted_short_segments": [ { "from_date": "2018-12-28", "to_date": "2018-12-31", "candidate_weekdays": 1 }, { "from_date": "2019-05-25", "to_date": "2019-05-27", "candidate_weekdays": 0 }, { "from_date": "2019-12-27", "to_date": "2019-12-31", "candidate_weekdays": 2 }, { "from_date": "2020-12-26", "to_date": "2020-12-28", "candidate_weekdays": 0 }, { "from_date": "2020-12-29", "to_date": "2020-12-31", "candidate_weekdays": 2 }, { "from_date": "2021-01-02", "to_date": "2021-01-04", "candidate_weekdays": 0 }, { "from_date": "2023-12-23", "to_date": "2023-12-25", "candidate_weekdays": 0 }, { "from_date": "2023-12-28", "to_date": "2023-12-29", "candidate_weekdays": 1 }, { "from_date": "2023-12-30", "to_date": "2024-01-01", "candidate_weekdays": 0 }, { "from_date": "2024-12-28", "to_date": "2024-12-31", "candidate_weekdays": 1 }, { "from_date": "2025-12-27", "to_date": "2025-12-29", "candidate_weekdays": 0 }, { "from_date": "2026-01-03", "to_date": "2026-01-05", "candidate_weekdays": 0 } ], "excluded_broker_dates": [ "2017-12-22", "2017-12-25", "2017-12-26", "2017-12-27", "2017-12-29", "2018-01-01", "2018-01-02", "2018-12-24", "2018-12-25", "2018-12-26", "2018-12-27", "2018-12-31", "2019-01-01", "2019-01-02", "2019-01-03", "2019-05-24", "2019-05-27", "2019-05-28", "2019-12-24", "2019-12-25", "2019-12-26", "2019-12-31", "2020-01-01", "2020-01-02", "2020-01-03", "2020-12-24", "2020-12-25", "2020-12-28", "2020-12-31", "2021-01-01", "2021-01-04", "2023-12-22", "2023-12-25", "2023-12-26", "2023-12-27", "2023-12-29", "2024-01-01", "2024-01-02", "2024-12-24", "2024-12-25", "2024-12-26", "2024-12-27", "2024-12-31", "2025-01-01", "2025-01-02", "2025-12-24", "2025-12-25", "2025-12-26", "2025-12-29", "2025-12-30", "2025-12-31", "2026-01-01", "2026-01-02", "2026-01-05" ], "data_exclusion_policy": "Data-quality exclusions, NOT official closures. Every broker day touched by >60 missing scheduled minutes plus previous and next trading weekdays. Months still above 2% absent scheduled minutes are excluded whole, with adjacent trading weekdays, from primary results. Source data stays unchanged; smaller residual gaps stay disclosed.", "gap_manifest_sha256": "54e351f29b7e23d787aad29269e1338bca5a6ed4bc237ae06af3ced5214cfe00", "test_policy": { "selection": "All pair-specific annual permitted segments with >=20 Monday-Friday candidate days; no result-based selection. Short residual islands explicitly omitted.", "warmup": "Causal native observed-bar history; 400 completed strategy-timeframe bars required at FIRST decision tick and engine context>=400 at first processed bar. Warmup exclusions disclosed, no gap-free claim. No generated/future bars.", "warmup_calendar_days": { "D1": 650, "H4": 110, "H1": 28, "M15": 10 }, "segments": "Independent flat-start USD10000 segments. Tester-end forced closes and fees retained. Flat through excluded decision dates. Segment returns are not a continuous live portfolio.", "costs": "Actual bid/ask spread; base3.5 USD/lot/side,0ms; combined stress7 USD/lot/side,200ms. Fee withdrawals affect sizing. Native commissions must be zero. Stress changes both factors and is not an isolated delay estimate.", "financing": "Native booked swap reported separately; historical financing unvalidated. Price P/L minus declared fees is before financing. Even swap-excluded cash is based on lots sized using native-swap-influenced equity.", "sizing_id16": "Public default commission reserve remains7 USD/roundtrip lot in BOTH scenarios; stress actual fee14 exceeds sizing reserve. Preserve deployed rules and disclose.", "later_period": "2025 results previously inspected in other models; no untouched holdout claim.", "profitability": "No automatic profitable badge. Review all segments/scenarios, trade counts, drawdown, costs and remaining financing/model limitations.", "scope": "One declared EURUSD benchmark, not validation on all recommended pairs or every live execution rule.", "safety": "Owned portable Strategy Tester only, hidden BelowNormal two cores, no account trading, DLL, cloud, remote agents or optimization." }, "reviewed_execution_limitations": [ { "case_id": "p101-id13-eurusd-20200104-20201224-stress", "kind": "protection_rejection_10016_retained", "count": 2, "event_timestamps": [ "2020.03.02 14:30:00", "2020.09.11 13:15:00" ], "description": "Rejected stop tightening; the prior stop remained in force." }, { "case_id": "p101-id13-eurusd-20230101-20231222-stress", "kind": "protection_rejection_10016_retained", "count": 1, "event_timestamps": [ "2023.05.10 15:30:00" ], "description": "Rejected stop tightening; the prior stop remained in force." }, { "case_id": "p101-id16-eurusd-20230101-20231222-stress", "kind": "unfilled_market_entry_invalid_stops", "count": 1, "event_timestamps": [ "2023.11.10 17:00:00" ], "description": "An entry was rejected for invalid stops; no hypothetical fill is used." }, { "case_id": "p101-id22-eurusd-20210105-20220101-stress", "kind": "closed_position_before_protection_modify", "count": 1, "event_timestamps": [ "2021.09.22 21:00:00" ], "description": "A protection modify was attempted after a take-profit close." }, { "case_id": "p101-id23-eurusd-20220101-20230101-stress", "kind": "closed_position_before_market_close", "count": 1, "event_timestamps": [ "2022.10.17 17:15:00" ], "description": "A market close was attempted after a stop-loss close." }, { "case_id": "p101-id23-eurusd-20230101-20231222-stress", "kind": "unfilled_entry_and_stopped_position_close", "count": 2, "event_timestamps": [ "2023.10.06 17:30:00", "2023.12.15 20:15:00" ], "description": "An entry was rejected for invalid stops, and a separate market close was attempted after a stop-loss close. Both native outcomes are retained without hypothetical fills." } ], "summary": { "schema_version": 1, "checked_utc": "2026-09-23T12:48:35.849843+00:00", "status": "complete", "batch_failure": null, "campaign_id": "single-pair-performance-v1", "plan_sha256": "1f80fadcc825191607913348c68e615b1366bcade7f0ebe4b0c0c62a47de415e", "expected_cases": 540, "validated_cases": 540, "validated_case_result_sha256": { "p101-id01-eurusd-20180702-20181224-base": "0141b1e5849a5481787e33e3b1bd513175c18933111a184ffbaa86900fe51c4d", "p101-id01-eurusd-20180702-20181224-stress": "7259496634b95eaa962554d48434728ec3b5b09950d434291b63a9d6683ef186", "p101-id02-eurusd-20180702-20181224-base": "0ba44a653a0058e85d16dff7825f15710a7b01bf9721042a7b8768a7a7b189f3", "p101-id02-eurusd-20180702-20181224-stress": "a93b07b05d0698009d28d899a7bb4f562271eb06f02cee38438769851ccd53ca", "p101-id03-eurusd-20180702-20181224-base": "1707651cd768843ef10c2b6a7a3cfc65b3ff804641195935bd7b61658a729778", 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"forced_tester_end_closes": 2, "reviewed_server_rejections": 0, "affected_case_ids": [] }, { "strategy_id": 27, "scenario": "stress", "validated_segment_count": 10, "expected_segment_count": 10, "trades": 322, "price_profit": "-1120.35", "fees": "632.94", "native_swap": "-100.72", "net_before_financing": "-1753.29", "net_with_native_swap": "-1854.01", "profit_factor_before_financing": "0.7997722829264727379038152317", "profit_factor_with_native_swap": "0.7893840596173944653973735630", "positive_segments_before_financing": 3, "positive_segments_with_native_swap": 3, "worst_segment_drawdown_usd": "593.1399999999994", "worst_segment_drawdown_pct": "5.931399999999994", "forced_tester_end_closes": 2, "reviewed_server_rejections": 0, "affected_case_ids": [] } ], "reviewed_server_rejection_count": 8, "reviewed_execution_affected_case_ids": [ "p101-id13-eurusd-20200104-20201224-stress", "p101-id13-eurusd-20230101-20231222-stress", "p101-id16-eurusd-20230101-20231222-stress", "p101-id22-eurusd-20210105-20220101-stress", "p101-id23-eurusd-20220101-20230101-stress", "p101-id23-eurusd-20230101-20231222-stress" ], "execution_limit": "Reviewed execution limitations remain pooled in the negative/positive cash totals, are disclosed per group, and do not confer a clean-execution or profitability label.", "financing_limit": "Native booked swap is shown separately; historical financing remains unvalidated." }, "method_html": "

EURUSD only, using genuine historical bid/ask ticks in MT5's real-tick mode. Ten independently started segments span selected dates from 2 July 2018 to 18 September 2026 (end exclusive). Excluded broker-calendar dates and short residual windows are listed in the downloadable benchmark data. Broker time is UTC+2 in US winter and UTC+3 in US summer; source ticks are UTC. Earlier history supplies warmup only, with at least 400 observed completed bars required at the first decision; warmup gaps remain a limitation. The full ten-year data archive is not a ten-year continuous performance test.

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Each segment starts flat at USD 10,000. Base uses USD 3.50 per lot per side and no added execution delay. Stress uses USD 7.00 per lot per side plus a 200 ms delay. Observed spread is included in price P/L. Stress changes both commission and delay, so its difference from base does not isolate either effect. Remaining positions are closed and charged at each segment end.

\n

Results below sum independent segment cash outcomes; they are not a compounded account return. Drawdown is the worst observed individual segment, not a continuous full-period or intratick worst-case drawdown. It uses observed native equity after modeled fees and native booked swap. Profit factor groups complete positions, including partial exits; n/a means the loss denominator is unavailable. Native booked swap is shown separately and has not been checked against historical financing rates. Native equity can affect subsequent sizing, so subtracting swap does not recreate a separate no-financing simulation.

\n

The rules were fixed before this campaign, but parts of the historical period had already been inspected during development. This is not an untouched out-of-sample test, and no automatic profitability badge is awarded. Ledger reconciliation is not a complete independent replay of every indicator and decision. These figures describe this exact implementation and sample; they do not establish why an apparent edge would persist. Account-level and portfolio controls described elsewhere on this page still apply.

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